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Population and trends in the global mean temperature

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posted on 2023-06-09, 05:25 authored by Richard TolRichard Tol
The Fisher Ideal index, developed to measure price inflation, is applied to define a population-weighted temperature trend. This method has the advantages that the trend is representative for the population distribution throughout the sample but without conflating the trend in the population distribution and the trend in the temperature. I show that the trend in the global area-weighted average surface air temperature is different in key details from the population-weighted trend. I extend the index to include urbanization and the urban heat island effect. This substantially changes the trend again. I further extend the index to include international migration, but this has a minor impact on the trend.

History

Publication status

  • Published

File Version

  • Published version

Journal

Atmósfera

ISSN

2395-8812

Publisher

Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico

Issue

2

Volume

30

Page range

121-135

Department affiliated with

  • Economics Publications

Full text available

  • Yes

Peer reviewed?

  • Yes

Legacy Posted Date

2017-03-09

First Open Access (FOA) Date

2017-06-21

First Compliant Deposit (FCD) Date

2017-06-21

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