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Failed technology futures: Pitfalls and lessons from a historical survey
journal contribution
posted on 2023-06-08, 09:38 authored by Frank W Geels, Wim A SmitImages of the future, with hindsight, turn out to be either right or wrong. In this article, past images of the impact of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) on traffic and transportation are investigated. Informed by the field of technology studies, seven key features are formulated that point at pitfalls and neglected aspects in many future expectations on technological developments and their societal impact. It is also argued that the evolution from broad sweeping promises to more down-to-earth assessments is inherent in technological developments, because expectations and diffuse scenarios also play a performative role in technological developments.
History
Publication status
- Published
Journal
FuturesISSN
00163287Publisher
ElsevierExternal DOI
Issue
9Volume
32Page range
867-885Department affiliated with
- SPRU - Science Policy Research Unit Publications
Full text available
- No
Peer reviewed?
- Yes
Legacy Posted Date
2012-02-06Usage metrics
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