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Distributional aspects of climate change impacts
journal contribution
posted on 2023-06-08, 11:09 authored by Richard TolRichard Tol, Thomas E Downing, Onno J Kuik, Joel B SmithClimate change is likely to impact more severely on the poorer people of the world, because they are more exposed to the weather, because they are closer to the biophysical and experience limits of climate, and because their adaptive capacity is lower. Estimates of aggregated impacts necessarily make assumptions on the relative importance of sectors, countries and periods; we propose to make these assumption explicit. We introduce a Gini coefficient for climate change impacts, which shows the distribution of impacts is very skewed in the near future and will deteriorate for more than a century before becoming more egalitarian. Vulnerability to climate change depends on more than per capita income alone, so that the geographical pattern of vulnerability is complex, and the relationship between vulnerability and development non-linear and non-monotonous.
History
Publication status
- Published
Journal
Global Environmental ChangeISSN
0959-3780Publisher
ElsevierExternal DOI
Issue
3Volume
14Page range
259-272Department affiliated with
- Economics Publications
Full text available
- No
Peer reviewed?
- Yes
Legacy Posted Date
2012-04-19Usage metrics
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