Assessing the long-term performance of cross-sectoral strategies for national infrastructure

Hall, Jim W, Rai, Neha, Watson, Jim W and et al, (2014) Assessing the long-term performance of cross-sectoral strategies for national infrastructure. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, 20 (3). ISSN 1076-0342

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National infrastructure systems (energy, transport, digital communications, water, and waste) provide essential services to society. Although for the most part these systems developed in a piecemeal way, they are now an integrated and highly interdependent “system of systems.” However, understanding the long-term performance trajectory of national infrastructure has proved to be very difficult because of the complexity of these systems (in physical and institutional terms) and because there is little tradition of thinking cross-sectorally about infrastructure system performance. Here, a methodology is proposed for analyzing national multisectoral infrastructure systems performance in the context of uncertain futures, incorporating interdependencies in demand across sectors. Three contrasting strategies are considered for infrastructure provision (capacity intensive, capacity constrained, and decentralized) and multiattribute performance metrics are analyzed in the context of low, medium, and high demographic and economic growth scenarios. The approach is illustrated using Great Britain and provides the basis for the development and testing of long-term strategies for national infrastructure provision. It is especially applicable to mature industrial economics with a large stock of existing infrastructure and challenges of future infrastructure provision.

Item Type: Article
Schools and Departments: School of Business, Management and Economics > SPRU - Science Policy Research Unit
Subjects: T Technology > TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) > TA0168 Systems engineering
Depositing User: Jim Watson
Date Deposited: 14 Mar 2014 11:34
Last Modified: 09 Mar 2015 14:12
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