European asset swap spreads and the credit crisis

Aussenegg, Wolfgang, Götz, Lukas and Jelic, Ranko (2016) European asset swap spreads and the credit crisis. European Journal of Finance, 22 (7). pp. 572-600. ISSN 1351-847X

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We examine time-varying behaviour and determinants of asset swap (ASW) spreads for 23 iBoxx European corporate bond indexes from January 2006 to January 2009. The results of a Markov switching model suggest that ASW spreads exhibit regime-dependent behaviour. The evidence is particularly strong for Financial and Corporates Subordinated indexes. Stock market volatility determines ASW spread changes in turbulent periods, whereas stock returns tend to affect spread changes in calm periods. While market liquidity affects spreads only in turbulent regimes the level of interest rates is an important determinant of spread changes in both regimes. Finally, we identify stock returns, lagged ASW spread levels, and lagged volatility of ASW spreads as major drivers of the regime shifts. The results are robust in the extended sample (January 2006 to October 2013) that includes a post-crisis period.

Item Type: Article
Schools and Departments: School of Business, Management and Economics > Business and Management
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HG Finance > HG4001 Finance management. Business finance. Corporation finance
Depositing User: Ranko Jelic
Date Deposited: 15 Dec 2014 11:27
Last Modified: 07 Mar 2017 16:23

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