Population and trends in the global mean temperature

Tol, Richard S J (2017) Population and trends in the global mean temperature. Atmósfera, 30 (2). pp. 121-135. ISSN 2395-8812

[img] PDF - Submitted Version
Restricted to SRO admin only

Download (424kB)
[img] PDF - Published Version
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial No Derivatives.

Download (877kB)


The Fisher Ideal index, developed to measure price inflation, is applied to define a population-weighted temperature trend. This method has the advantages that the trend is representative for the population distribution throughout the sample but without conflating the trend in the population distribution and the trend in the temperature. I show that the trend in the global area-weighted average surface air temperature is different in key details from the population-weighted trend. I extend the index to include urbanization and the urban heat island effect. This substantially changes the trend again. I further extend the index to include international migration, but this has a minor impact on the trend.

Item Type: Article
Schools and Departments: School of Business, Management and Economics > Economics
Subjects: G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GE Environmental Sciences
Depositing User: Richard Tol
Date Deposited: 09 Mar 2017 09:28
Last Modified: 11 Sep 2017 06:38
URI: http://srodev.sussex.ac.uk/id/eprint/67031

View download statistics for this item

📧 Request an update